Hi! I am happy to propose some consulting services based on the experiences I have acquired in my last 12+ years in commodity trading and risk management. Whaaaat’s that? Producing electricity from gas, gasoline from oil, oilseed from grain, or grain itself, … they all are challenging tasks from a physical standpoint.
But difficulties don’t stop there. How much money can you lose if things go wrong? What the ideal price and when to sell your production? You know your cost, but not yet the uncertainty of your production. How can you follow all that up in a useful and digital way? Yes, that’s may be harsh.
You need data… you have some of course… but not always all you would need to take the right decision. You may need some (data) analysis, building a user-friendly monitoring tool accessible from anywhere. But maybe you need simply an alternative point of view on this question, or a more refined approach, made of an ideal blend of rationality and pragmatism, because you don’t have time for that. Then I am here to help you! Throughout my experience, I have consistently demonstrated adaptability, leveraging my expertise across different commodity markets and roles, from programming to decision making.
In terms of methodology, I prioritize a thorough analysis of the problem at hand. It’s often the case that we don’t initially aim to solve the right problem. Note that I believe that many problems can be solved quickly when well thought out.
Following this, I emphasize a comprehensive analysis of available data and its quality. This step is crucial and should be undertaken as early as possible. Finally comes the phase of implementing the solution, involving programming, analysis and interpretation of the results. This stage is typically straightforward when the preceding steps have been well-executed. From there, you get valuable insights for you to make informed decisions.
/!\ Edit sept 2024 /!\ Note that, thinking further, I will contemplate a more human dimension in my methodology. It is somehow the ’empathy’ I mention above, but I develop further. While I had already emphasized the importance of thorough analysis considering all these keys, I believe it is above all important to acknowledge our human biases. For example, as an engineer, I tend to approach problem-solving through engineering methods, which may distort the problem definition itself. I believe this perspective opens the door to a new kind of creativity, which is welcomed in today’s AI era.
When needed, the ultimate step is deployment, monitoring, management, and maintenance of models in production environments. Tech savvy, I can use the leading-edge available tools. Whether in terms of algorithms, programming, whether in term of cloud technology, data storage, data processing and real-time data pipelines, I will always propose pragmatic solutions in a desired environment. Customer centric and value driven, I don’t believe in a one-size-fits-all approach. A simple approach can often be effective in many problems. But a more complex solution may be needed, sometimes!
In any case, I think it worth spending time on clarifying the problem, along with the strategies for solving it, be it the ones implemented or the feasible afterward. I definitely prefer explainability and interpretation over a “black box” solution. Please find below a list of tasks I am offering. This list is not exhaustive. And contact me throught Linkedin or by mail.
Market Risk Management
Comprehensive analysis of market risks
Develop risk mitigation strategies
Implement risk management frameworks
Commodity Price Forecasting
Generate accurate price forecasts
Short-term and long-term outlooks
Formulate trading strategies
Market Entry and Expansion Strategies
Strategic advice and market intelligence
Feasibility studies, competitive analysis
Support market entry decisions
Structured Products Design
Design bespoke structured products
Tailored to client risk profiles
Management of optionality risks
Real Options Valuation
Assess the value of investment opportunities
Consider flexibility and uncertainty
Informed decision-making support
Technology Advisory Services
Advise on advanced technologies
Leverage AI, ML, and big data analytics
Maintenance of production environment
Commodity markets experiences: electricity, gas and oil, dry bulk, grain and oilseed, cotton, freight truck
Programming languages habits: C#, C++, SAS, Python, SQL
Some of cloud technologies : Databrics, Snowflake, Docker/Kubernetes…
Used to Power BI (and also Tableau some time ago) for visualization tool,
Used to version control systems, Github, Azure devOps for code collaboration and project management